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United States Dollar:
Last week the focus was on the Jackson Hole symposium and the speech from Yellen. Designing Resilient Monetary Policy Frameworks for the Future seems a title that hardly rolls off the tongue but one that is clearly needs addressing. A lot was on the table for discussion but unfortunately all focus seemed to be on Yellen and when the next USD hike will come into play. The markets reacted when an uncharacteristically hawkish Yellen gave her speech stating the case for rate hikes has strengthened in recent months. Now whilst this is hardly a stand out, ground breaking statement, it is in line with other FOMC members’ statements. It seems that the whole FOMC is in agreement at present meaning a September hike may be possible. This was later verified by Fischer that September has been discussed. Still at the point of writing, a September hike only sits at around 36% chance with December now looking much more likely at closer to 58%. The week closed with the USD the clear winner and from markets opening ... read more
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