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United States Dollar:
With a light calendar yesterday trade was relatively thin and any cable price moves were very limited. With all eyes firmly on Wednesdays rate announcement the markets are being met with caution. Whilst most firmly believe there will be no action from the FED it hasn’t prevented some to voice some optimism. Goldman Sachs wrote an interesting column yesterday, highlighting they expect to see modest changes to the FOMC statement highlighting the committee will upgrade its discussion of the labor market and measures of inflation expectations but change little else. They went on to say they still expect to see a 25% chance of a rate rise in September and 40% in December. Ex-Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota wrote for Bloomberg recently and his views echoed that of Goldman adding the Fed will be concerned about a number of downside risks, especially from overseas (Brexit, European banking system), it’s worth adding though Kocherlakota was the dove of doves at the Fed. He's still arguing that the Fed ... read more
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